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Military analyst Colonel José do Carmo claims Iran's economy has already lost half its GDP and warns that continued US sanctions combined with Russia's focus on Donbass will make resistance impossible.
Colonel José do Carmo warns that attacking Iran incrementally only prolongs the war and believes Russia sustains the conflict because Beijing supplies components for Russian weapons.
Colonel José do Carmo suggests that Iran is uniquely positioned to emerge victorious from the Middle East conflict, believing it 'disposed to die.' He also identifies the current moment as ideal for negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Colonel José do Carmo asserts that aiding Ukraine is a matter of self-interest for Europe, not charity. He acknowledges Russia's attempts to intimidate allies with 'red lines' but believes Europe will not be deterred, as defending Ukraine serves its own strategic interests.
Colonel José do Carmo views the survival of the Iranian regime as a defeat for the US, noting a tactical ceasefire in the Middle East for diplomacy while the US reinforces military assets. The article also mentions Zelensky's plea for vital support in Washington.
Colonel José do Carmo states that China is not neutral and uses cynicism to present itself as a peacemaker while actively supporting the Russian war machine.
Colonel José do Carmo warns that the shortage of missiles in Ukraine will not be resolved soon, noting that the production of sophisticated interceptors is very low and allied aid will be limited.
Colonel José do Carmo explains that Iran uses militias to spread chaos and warns that attacks will not stop as long as the 'octopus head' (Iran itself) remains secure and is not directly attacked by the West.
Colonel José do Carmo believes that if both sides act rationally, they will return to negotiations soon, as a long-term conflict is unsustainable due to immense logistical challenges.