Strong corporate earnings highlight resilience of Chinese economy
Recent strong earnings reports from major companies are cited as evidence of the underlying resilience of the Chinese economy.
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Recent strong earnings reports from major companies are cited as evidence of the underlying resilience of the Chinese economy.

China's burgeoning artificial intelligence sector is increasingly making the Star 50 index the most significant stock index to watch. The AI boom is reshaping market dynamics and investor focus within the Chinese economy.

China's economic growth is experiencing a slowdown, with weakening across various sectors and declining consumption. This indicates ongoing structural challenges within the Chinese economy.

China's monthly inflation eased in July, with producer prices reaching a three-month low, as the impact of the oil shock from the Iran war began to subside. This cooling trend suggests a moderation in price pressures within the Chinese economy.
Artificial intelligence is being hailed as a 'new engine' that is helping to prevent a harder landing for the Chinese economy.
China's economy is reportedly as unstable as it was during the COVID-19 pandemic, with second-quarter growth recorded at 'only' 4 percent.
China's GDP growth is projected to slow, leading to increased expectations for further economic stimulus measures. The anticipated slowdown highlights challenges in the Chinese economy.
McKinsey's Joe Ngai and Nick Leung argue that global businesses cannot dismiss the Chinese economy, asserting that 'the next China is still China.'
The Chinese economy has demonstrated continued recovery momentum during the January to April period, indicating positive trends in its economic performance.
The Chinese economy has demonstrated significant resilience, effectively navigating and withstanding external volatility and challenges.

The conflict in the Middle East has triggered higher energy prices, which in turn have cycled into the Chinese economy, reversing three and a half years of deflationary pressure on Chinese factories.

BASF CEO Markus Kamieth expressed optimism about profitable growth in China, even as the Chinese economy slows, following the company's 9 billion euro investment in a new plant in the Far East.
The Chinese economy has demonstrated a solid start in 2026, indicating positive momentum in its economic performance.

Despite complex internal and external challenges, the Chinese economy maintained its upward trajectory in 2025, achieving an annual GDP growth of 5%, highlighting its resilience.

China is at a high-water mark of domestic confidence. The Year of the Horse has shown that the engine of internal demand is not just idling — it is running at high gear
Economic analysts project that China's services industry will assume a more dominant position in driving national GDP growth, reflecting ongoing structural shifts in the Chinese economy.

Poems, essays, and books by working-class writers have gained recognition in recent years amidst China's economic slowdown, also attracting increasing government attention.

Reports indicate that the Chinese economy is experiencing a slowdown. This suggests a period of decreased economic growth for the nation.
A gauge of China's private manufacturing activity showed weaker growth, indicating a slowdown in factory output. This suggests a broader weakening of the Chinese economy.

Australian investors experienced a tense week due to uncertainty stemming from signs of a slowing Chinese economy and ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
China's economy experienced a slowdown in the second quarter of 2026, growing by 4.3% year-on-year, which is below the 5% recorded in the first three months and falls short of market expectations.

China's producer inflation has surged to a four-year high, squeezing manufacturers, while consumer price growth unexpectedly slowed. This indicates a divergence in inflationary pressures within the Chinese economy.
China is prioritizing efforts to improve financial services available to small firms. This initiative aims to bolster support for smaller businesses within the Chinese economy.
Russia is becoming increasingly reliant on Chinese money and technology, a trend accelerated by the war in Ukraine, which grants Beijing greater influence over Moscow.
China is actively opening up its services sector, a strategic move anticipated to significantly benefit multinational corporations operating within the country. This initiative aims to foster greater foreign investment and participation in the Chinese economy.

China's factory gate prices (PPI) returned to growth after three years, exceeding expectations, while consumer prices (CPI) rose 1% in March. Both indicators point to increasing inflationary pressures in the Chinese economy.
Japanese companies operating in China are revising their strategies, including opening new stores focused on lower-priced products, as the Chinese economy slows down and deflation concerns emerge.
The Chinese economy has demonstrated resilience in the face of external volatility, according to recent reports highlighting its ability to withstand global challenges.

Festive consumption during the Chinese New Year, including the integration of robots into daily life and 'reverse migration' for celebrations, demonstrates the dynamic potential of the Chinese economy.
China's Debt Model Creates Danger Of Stagnation Authored by Daniel Lacalle, The latest social financing figures from China show an economy that is increasingly relying on government debt while private demand for credit remains weak. The strength of the Chinese technology sector and its exporting companies gives enough room for leverage. However, behind the weak private sector credit demand lies an evident economic slowdown that the Chinese government acknowledges, challenging consumption patterns, a significant overcapacity problem, and the depth of the housing crisis. The current economic model, focused on delivering 5% real economic growth, requires larger doses of debt to achieve smaller increments of growth, especially productive sector growth. The government has focused on reducing debt and overcapacity imbalances while reorienting its exports and financial system to lessen dependence on the US dollar; however, the main challenge for the Chinese economy remains boosting consumer demand, despite rate cuts and easing financial conditions. To understand the intensity of debt of the Chinese model, we must go to the year 2000 and see the acceleration in the flow of debt, not just the current stock. At that time, real GDP growth was around 8–9%, so each percentage point of growth came with roughly 13–16 points of debt‑to‑GDP. Government debt was very low, at around 25% of GDP, and most leverage sat in the state-owned corporate sector with modest household debt. China was able to deliver near‑double‑digit growth with a total non‑financial debt ratio barely above 120% of GDP. By 2023, non‑financial sector debt had risen to about 285% of GDP, more than doubling its level of 2000. Chinese think‑tanks and official commentators put the “macro leverage ratio” closer to 300% of GDP by 2025, according to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. The macro leverage ratio rose by 11.8 percentage points to 302.3 percent in 2025, exceeding the 10.1-point increase reported in 2024. Over the same period, the trend of real GDP growth has slowed to roughly 4–5%, so each percentage point of growth now requires around 60–75 points of debt‑to‑GDP, more than three times the debt per point of growth required in 2000. Furthermore, it comes mostly from government debt. In January 2026, aggregate social financing jumped by 7.22 trillion yuan, significantly higher than in the same month of 2025 and above market expectations, consistent with 5% annual GDP growth and a larger composition of the public sector in the mix. Outstanding social financing reached 449.11 trillion yuan at the end of January, rising 8.2% year‑on‑year, while money supply (M2) rose by 9%. New yuan bank loans were 4.7 trillion yuan, about 420 billion less than a year earlier and significantly below consensus, showing the weak private‑sector credit demand and the prudent approach of Chinese customers and businesses to debt addition. RMB loans outstanding stood at 276.62 trillion yuan, up only 6.1% year‑on‑year, clearly below the pace of overall financing and money growth. The driver of credit growth in China is no longer households and private firms but the government and state-owned companies. The real estate problem has impacted Chinese families in numerous ways. Not only did most of them see the value of their homes decline, but many families invested in the attractive yields of real estate developers’ commercial paper, which led to large losses and even the wipe-out of savings for many. Additionally, despite the excess in supply of houses, prices have not fallen enough to warrant enough appetite for new mortgages, as affordability remains an issue and the traditional prudence of Chinese citizens when it comes to consuming and borrowing adds to the challenge. Beijing plans to issue 4.4 trillion yuan in local government special‑purpose bonds in 2025, 500 billion more than in 2024, looking to boost government investment and a “proactive fiscal policy,” knowing that raising taxes would be exceedingly negative for growth and consumption. Local governments are expected to issue more than 10 trillion yuan in bonds in 2025, including refinancing, general bonds, and new special bonds. The Chinese government knows that it can manage more debt but also sees the weak investment and household spending and acknowledges that large tax increases would be counterproductive. However, to prevent future debt-driven stagnation, a focus on productivity is necessary. The official budget sets a deficit of 4% for 2025. However, once all budget items are consolidated, including government funds, special bonds, and off‑budget vehicles, this true fiscal deficit in 2025 is closer to 9%, up from 7.7% in 2024, according to Rhodium Group and JP Morgan. China increasingly relies on hidden or almost fiscal borrowing to support growth. With outstanding social financing now around 449 trillion yuan and real growth around 4–5%, each incremental point of GDP is increasingly linked with a much larger stock of debt than a decade ago. This rising credit intensity of growth may prevent a significant slowdown but may create a significant fiscal challenge in the future. The Chinese model demands high growth and low taxes; any change to the fiscal system will be negative. For years, local governments relied on the sale of land for property development to collect tax receipts. Thus, the drag from real estate is evident in the economy and in fiscal sustainability. Real estate development investment fell 13.9% year‑on‑year in the first three quarters of 2025, with residential investment down 12.9%, the steepest drop since 2021, according to official figures. Property investment and sales both posted double‑digit declines in 2024, and forecasters expect real estate investment to fall another 11% and sales to drop 7.5% in 2025, according to Reuters, with further declines in 2026 before stabilizing only in 2027… if it happens as fast as consensus estimates. The property sector, once a key engine for economic growth and tax receipts, absorbs new credit to stabilize its accounts without boosting growth or creating a multiplier effect. Additionally, China’s industrial capacity utilization remained at 74.9% at the end of 2025, well below the 78.4% peak reached in 2021. Overcapacity is clear in steel, autos, legacy chips, and parts of sectors like green tech, where expansion has surpassed domestic and external demand. Thus, the purchasing managers’ indices show weak new orders and foreign demand, while bankruptcies and insolvencies have risen, although not to levels that would indicate a financial crisis. The Chinese economy needs to reopen, improve investor and legal security and allow the housing slump to materialize fully to see the type of productive economic growth it needs to avoid much larger increases in debt. Otherwise, the risk of stagnation will likely be elevated as population growth stalls, overcapacity remains, and the stock of unsold property becomes a larger liability. Tyler Durden Mon, 02/16/2026 - 22:25

The US Supreme Court temporarily allowed the Trump administration to restrict mail-in ballots, while trade tensions escalated with Canada over new tariffs, prompting Canada to consider closer ties with the EU.
China's industrial output growth slowed to 4.5% in July, while retail sales also missed forecasts, indicating a broader economic slowdown. This data suggests a challenging period for the Chinese economy.
Chinese economy maintains stable growth in first 7 months of 2026, led by equipment making, high-tech manufacturing sectors Global Times
Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer XPeng is actively exploring new international markets in an effort to diversify its revenue streams and lessen its dependence on the currently weaker Chinese economy.

Reports indicate a slowdown in China's economic growth, with experts noting lagging job creation despite strong exports, which is squeezing spending. Meanwhile, New York City is focusing on developing AI centers, and a durian giveaway was also mentioned.

A paradox is emerging in understanding the Chinese economy, as an authoritative economist of the regime felt compelled to publicly attack pessimistic assumptions, raising questions about the true state of the economy.
The Chinese economy remains in a slow lane, with expectations of a decline in consumption, indicating ongoing economic challenges.
The Chinese economy continues to demonstrate a stable growth trajectory, according to recent reports.
China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 1.2% in April, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) surged to 2.8%, marking a post-Covid high for factory inflation due to a commodity spike. This indicates significant inflationary pressure within the Chinese economy.
A Global Times editorial discusses whether the Chinese economy can be characterized as a 'tale of fire and ice,' analyzing its current state and future prospects.

BASF CEO Markus Kamieth has stated that there are significant opportunities for profitable growth in China, despite a slowdown in the Chinese economy, following the company's investment of nine billion euros in a new plant in the Far East.
The Chinese economy has demonstrated a solid start to 2026, showing robust performance and positive indicators in its initial months.
Official data indicates that the Chinese economy has had a robust start in the first two months of 2026, with major indicators surpassing market expectations.
Despite rising global uncertainties, the Chinese economy has demonstrated strong growth, showcasing resilience in its economic performance.